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We’re releasing Jev 1.14.0 along with experimental features for dreamers (typesafe.ai)
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I'm curious what people are building with these models
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Cool to see another model with support for bounding boxes on images. Really wish to see segmentation in a future release; Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite is mandatory in my use case as it's the best model for semantic image segmentation in my experience.
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How does JEV prevent distillation?
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In case you need something a bit more lightweight, or want privacy. You can get amazing (better in a lot of cases) accuracy and performance from local models that run and train on CPU: https://jeffyclassify.com/blog/when-llms-fail-at-classification/
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Sounds like an incremental change with context size change, new "box" type, and composable images. As it's minor change did not expect much, but having a higher context helps for sure. I will own the errors for passing bigger context.
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So they held back a bunch of features because they knew they had basically no moat, and now they're trickling out a bit more functionality to try to convince people they are better than others and move fast? And using Apple advert slogans to show how cool they are?
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With the speed they're adding features shows you're correct.
OpenCode 2.0 (anoma.ly)
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The background task / subagent feature and the ability to specify a model when starting a subagent are so far my favorite improvements. Small things but make huge QoL difference in everyday development.
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This game is quite interestingly fun despite how basic it is.
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it feels like a clear improvement across the board but a heads up: i got bitten by upgrading - since all tool calls now go through the background process, the sandbox that i use to wrap the TUI process quietly became useless. took me a day or two to realize that web fetches, etc. which should have been blocked were succeeding.
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My notebook took up flight and launched itself through the window and died trying to render this site.
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I was annoyed that it takes just as much ram if not more than 1.0
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Wait, but OpenCode got renamed to Crush and the original dev went on to that new project. Where did this come from? Is this a fork? Who is behind it?
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I really hope we don't get a slew of WebGL-intensive sites.
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Interesting and I'll definitely give this a try, the client/server and plugin system do look very powerful. However, I've been using OMP in combination with Tern (the terminal) lately and it's an incredibly smooth operation. It's hard to find a decent terminal on Windows (corporate device) but this is the best I've found so far.
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Based on this post, it sounds like a ton of great improvements. I've only used OpenCode a bit, but I found it was sufficient for the workloads I was throwing at it. It wasn't quite enough to beat out Codex or Claude Code as my go-to choice, though. Perhaps I'll give this version a shot and see if they've gotten it over the hump.
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Everyone copies https//maki.sh. I've been the first!
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I enjoy this program, and 2.0 is a great improvement.
Anthropic's Scion is heavily inspired by Mononoke (sunshowers.io)
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Woo, I got cited. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=50076122 Another effort I couldn't have done without Astra. Even more so. All I did, the only reason I got cited, was because I'd asked Astra.
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Thanks!
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When Fable first released, I had it "one shot" a project using an initial spec and a team of agents. I was blown away with how good the results were. And then I noticed some links to images from random small github projects and realized somewhere along the way agents had searched for existing projects and copied almost everything. I wonder if something similar happened here on a larger scale.
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For run you can try pointing just about any model against the older kaggle challenges and it’ll come up with more or less the winning solution from memory. It’s here where you see a Gemma 27b perform about the same as opus 5.5
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Can anyone explain the difference between sampling vs mononoke? Edit: I was too lazy. From the README: "Mononoke is the server built for the Sapling Source Control System"
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It's a bit complicated: 1. Sapling can refer to either the system as a whole, or just the client people use (`sl`, forked from `hg`). 2. EdenFS is the virtualized FUSE filesystem (closely modeled after SrcFS at Google). 3. Mononoke is the distributed system that implements the backend server storage + the API they describe for checkout-less writes. All three come together to form the core of the Meta source control experience. From what I can tell, Anthropic built its own version of 1 and copied 2 and 3, plus also built out a code review tool separately.
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hi rain :) Anthropic’s post reminded me a lot of your work, glad this is getting some visibility. do you think the “time has come” for some of these ideas that previously may not have spread because they need too much learning to appreciate? I wonder what new norms will emerge in creative collectives.
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I really really wish Sapling could be used externally. It is by-and-large TheWay. Centralized, virtual file system, all commits automatically on cloud, large binary files totally fine, Mercurial CLI. It’s fantastic. People who only use Git really don’t understand how much better things can be.
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Working for a few years at Facebook, and then returning to the normal world, it was like stepping back in time -- I really think that the mainstream git culture (by which I mostly mean "github") achieved a local maxima around 2012, and has been holding the industry back since :( (Like GH finally has some support for stacks, 15 years late, with an implementation which is somehow more complicated and less powerful than the prior art...)
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> [Git/GitHub] achieved a local maxima around 2012, and has been holding the industry back since :( I agree so hard. It’s inertia is too strong and we’ve stalled progress for a decade.
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Agents tend to act differently than humans here. I would have expected most humans to notice and acknowledge the connection. Passing it off as one's own insight definitely feels like plagiarism. Agents are generally not equipped to deal with this type of thing, since looking for prior art is a detour from their goal or an exercise in post-hoc rationalization of knowledge built into the weights. Whether it is plagiarism or hacking, the buck has to stop with the operators. It's not a good look.
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From the Anthropic announcement: “Source control for huge monorepos has prior art, notably Google’s Piper and Meta’s Sapling, so we were able to build Scion with their hard-won lessons in mind.” Mononoke is a component of Sapling, as I understand it. In fact, the repo link provided in this article links to a subdirectory of the Sapling repo. I’m not totally sure I understand the complaint.
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> hard-won lessons in mind Another Claude-written article
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> Another Claude-written article This is the load-bearing seam.
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The level of inspiration goes well beyond "hard-won lessons". Something like Lore (slop design document aside) can claim that level of inspiration. Here the data model is a direct copy, down to the terminology. To be uncharitable, this is marketing for Anthropic's impending IPO.
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I see correlation instead. You IPO when you grow like crazy. You build something like scion when you grow like crazy.
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Is this what is expected of how to cite sources? Because if this is the expectation nobody does it. There are two cases and only one is an issue for citations: - Mononoke was directly consulted and not attributed - Concepts were reinvented or used as a derivative (Sapling cited Mononoke and implements something similar) For one I know Sapling, Git, and Jujutsu, but up to today I have never heard of Oxide or Mononoke and I am not exactly compelled to look up the research papers of any of them, at most I read through their high level documentation.
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To be clear, Mononoke is the server-side part of the Sapling system as deployed at Meta. Scion appears to be very closely inspired by Mononoke.
This headline is very confusing for fans of Basic Channel / Chain Reaction records.
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It is also confusing to fans of Studio Ghibli.
Damn. It’s hard not to see it as plagiarism. I can only imagine the surprised Pikachu face you must have made reading that announcement from Anthropic.
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Similar to how git was "inspired by" BitKeeper and Monotone?
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I do not think Linus has ever claimed that Git wasn't following in the footsteps of those systems.
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Neither has Anthropic. They mention Sapling as an inspiration.
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Scion is far more similar to Mononoke than Git is to BitKeeper.
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It's totally wild seeing entities being criticized for writing software based on/very similar to other open source software. Ffs, this used to be what open source software was about. It was actually the fucking point [1]. [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Open-source_software_movement
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Did you read my post? > And, to be clear, I do not have a problem with Anthropic copying Mononoke’s design. (This is part of why we put out open source — to benefit humanity through the spread of good ideas.) Followed by: > But as LLMs continue to assist in designing new systems, they are likely to index heavily on existing designs. Mononoke is open source and in every LLM’s training set. If you ask Opus 5.5 or GPT-6 Astra (thanks Matthew Fowle) about prior art, they both immediately point out the similarities to Mononoke. I think it is the duty of any responsible engineer to look for and cite prior art and related work, if only to compare notes.
Yandex outage: data shows that instead of going dark, malicious bots moved (blog.cloudflare.com)
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Would have been helpful if all these cloud corps had multiple ASNs.
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Incidentally, this morning I asked Gemini Argon 4 on High to do deep research on the effect of the strikes on russian bot farms and after some hours (it got stuck) it generated the report starting with a surprising (to me at the time) paragraph: "Rigorous digital forensic scrutiny and network telemetry analysis, however, demonstrate that the purported collapse of Russian social media propaganda bots is an analytical mirage born of misinterpreted network traffic data and fabricated viral graphics."
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Most Russian bots have a better reputation for fact-checking than Gemini, mate
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Confusing crawlbots for spambots missed the far bigger story: Russian government has encouraged adoption of digital services and centralization of them into a small number of handpicked "winners", who form the backbone of state surveillance system. This made the modern infrastructure a very attractive target. Ukrainian strikes on the datacenters are comparable to AWS, Google, Stripe and Dropbox going down, with no timeline when the services would be restored. It's been a week and Yandex still shows everything in red: https://status.yandex.cloud/en/dashboard
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Wouldn't it be easier to figure out where the bots originate now?
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Just anecdotally I still see as many bots as always. Embrace the bots, have fun with them. # nginx rule to Awaken AWS GuardDuty and GCP SCC, maybe get them to fix a few VMs, enable on all non-wordpress sites after testing in dev/qa location ~* /(xmlrpc|wp-login\.php|wp-admin) { log_not_found off; access_log off; return 301 http://169.254.169.254$request_uri; }
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I really ought to do something like this rather than just allowing our logs to endlessly fill with requests for wp-admin.
What I’m far more interested in is what the consequences of Yandex cloud being offline are. I feel like if us-east-1 was down for a week we’d see all kinds of consequences in everyday services. Are Russians enjoying the same?
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Yandex cloud is not as big as AWS. First of all AWS (even in us-*) most likely have non-US services\data. Yandex is mostly used by russian companies. Plus, from my personal experience cloud is not as popular in Russia as in the west. Big players like Sber, Ozon, T-Bank etc have their own datacenters and [may] use Yandex (or cloud.ru for example) for redundancy and\or non-critical services. Small players use vps or something similar. Big non-tech players (gas&oil for example) often rent redicated servers or space in a rack for their own hardware.
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yandex.com's search results are currently only showing a single page of 10 results.
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Works fine for me ("test" returned 5 pages). But try https://ya.ru too, for example.
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I cannot get it to return anything more than 10 results. Might be a design choice. Possibly for mobile. It’s certainly cleaner than the American options that way.
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No. Some consequences lasted for a few days. It’s all fine now.
I don't understand why they are just starting with the assumption that all of the bot traffic would just go straight out to the internet from their ASNs If it were a professional operation, the first thing you would do would be to not give away the source of where the traffic is coming from and route the traffic through an intermediary.
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Do you think at this point you’re just looking for reasons to believe?
Buried lede: >across Cloudflare's network, there was no evidence that the strikes knocked social media manipulation offline or otherwise disrupted malicious activity on the Internet. This directly refutes the popular memes going around that russian trolls magically went offline because of the attack.
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Yeah, it contradicted my intuition as a developer. If you take down a data center it isn't gone forever. The development team does not live there. Even if it's poorly backed up they're going to rebuild it.
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I don’t think many people were believing it was solved forever but just that there was a momentary disruption/decrease while they rebuilt it. But according to this report, even that impact was highly exaggerated.
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I am in a couple political discussion groups and it was really curious how the traditional right-wing posters sort of disappeared right around the same time. There are several that people had suspected of being some type of plant that just were suddenly not posting any more and still haven't come back. No idea if it was related but the timing was so close that it raised a few eyebrows.
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Yeah I think anyone that actually uses Cloudflare and manages their own bot traffic saw those graphs getting passed around and cringed. It has been an interesting thing to watch though as it was disseminated, echoed, and remixed with all sorts of "evidence" of this or that engagement dropping. Russian state actors and propaganda networks literally using Yandex's ASN is like the CIA calling you from a payphone in the lobby of Langley. Now you could say that parts of their infrastructure were hosted in there, and I'm sure it was, but the "bot" traffic narrative was pretty stupid.
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Does Cloudflare have much if anything to do with X/Twitter and Facebook/Instagram and TikTok, or even Reddit? Presumably these bots make up a very small percentage of traffic in comparison to how much they make up in terms of comments. And I doubt they have visibility on the most popular social networks. The reason these bots are able to succeed is because the average person comments and votes so little that there's huge volatility between a power user and an average user. Power users are also not that rare, so it's hard to determine who's a power user and who's a bot (though most power users probably are bots). You can make up a significant portion of comments and votes (especially on a topic) with a VERY small amount of the total viewing traffic.
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The popular memes that were based on people's assumptions or guesses or stories based on... cloudflare own tweets! https://x.com/cloudflareradar/status/2108122893028671604 https://x.com/CloudflareRadar/status/2110113211059994638 Which cloudflare also doesn't mention, that their vague and misleading tweet was responsible for these rumors that they are now trying to quash too. Tweets starting October 8th and continuing. That they're getting around to being like, yeah guys that data didn't mean that a week later. This is how "news" and "facts" work in 2026.
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>The popular memes that were based on people's assumptions or guesses or stories based on... cloudflare own tweets! ??? >"Bot traffic" refers to [...], not necessarily activity on social media platforms. I guess they could have been more explicit and straight up said "no, that doesn't mean russian trolls are offline", but their tweet isn't ambiguous.
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The clarifying tweet you're quoting was posted 5 days after the first tweet.
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The first tweet doesn't even mention anything about bots.
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Additionally, > Following the reported strikes, bot traffic from Yandex.Cloud fell about 40%. … Cloudflare customer blocks on Yandex.Cloud traffic also fell 70% during the event period, suggesting that proportionately less malicious traffic was even hitting the Cloudflare WAF from this ASN But the memes keep rolling. 57 channels and nothing on.
What other providers did they shift to? So we can block them?
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Residential proxies
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Two hosts they name in the post are Radist and Selectel
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Most social media bots are not hosted in datacenters. They are run on racks of mobile phones on regular cellular networks. Using real phones and residential IPs makes them harder to detect. These are often hosted around the world so they can appear as in your country while being remote controlled from Russia.
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From the article: >Our analysis here is a reminder that client ASN traffic volume is an unreliable proxy for interpreting automated bot behavior. Defending against automated threats requires inspecting request behavior, such as identifying shared JA4 fingerprints, monitoring anomalous request rates, and applying WAF rules to sensitive endpoints, regardless of which network the request originates from. Physical infrastructure is static, but malicious automation is built to move. Of course they're tooting their own horn that you need their advanced features and expertise to block all the bots, but it's approximately true. At the very least it's hard to block purely on ASN without inflicting massive collateral damage on privacy conscious users (ie. using VPN), because baddies can (and do) use the same commercial VPNs.
Microsoft Defender now supports Linux desktops (neowin.net)
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Simply, why?? Why someone would install Microsoft Defender on Linux?
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Enterprise IT compliance.
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A corporate Ubuntu laptop used to be much smoother than a windows 11 laptop in identical hardware. I guess this is one way for Microsoft to address that...
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Lucky, most places I have seen first class for Linux corporate laptops, they have the same IT compliance stuff as everyone else.
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That's the worst news I've heard all day!
Fancy Curl Sites (nytpu.com)
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Awesome! I always wanted to try browsing the web like RMS ;)
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Very neat! It's also possible to do this 100% statically without checking the user agent, by using alternate terminal buffers: - `curl -L https://cole.ws` (my personal portfolio site) does this It embeds the actual HTML inside an alternate terminal buffer (starting with `<!--\x1b[?1049h-->\r` and ending with `<!--\x1b[?1049l\x1b[3D\r`), and has the curl-able content appended to the end. When you curl it, it still writes the HTML to your terminal, but immediately clears that buffer and writes the ANSI version to your real screen. In browsers, this ANSI stuff is hidden in an HTML comment. This is useful for static sites on GitHub pages or something.
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Also germane today a fix for curl/libcurl was released. The main vulnerability hinges upon using a malicious server to attack the client. CVE-2026-92392 https://daniel.haxx.se/blog/2026/10/07/twenty-two-pending-curl-vulnerabilities/
Things to know when you get cancer – 2026 Edition (jjmaxwell4.com)
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Good advice. As someone for whom this is currently relevant, let me add "find a support group". At least, if it's a common cancer, a group will gather accumulated wisdom and can research better than a single person. Also, they can help more with practical questions, like financial aid, how to manage sleep and pain, etc.
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There are a number of startups (and some that already got aqui-hired) working on the problem of "how do i connect with a medical provider who specializes (or at least has seen before) what i have/think i have?" what I've taken away from this is the medical industry is a lot more fragmented than engineers would prefer. It's been a while since I checked but there seem to be at least 30+ startups at least past the series A stage of "fixing" this problem.
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Have had terrible pain and muscle clenching in my body since I was a teen (am 52 now) and for the past 15+ years, have been intensely working with the medical system to figure out the cause (have gotten a lot of great relief!). Agree with everything said in this blog in working with the medical system. To put my spin on it: - You are the least-constrained team member in your healthcare: At an appointment, your doctors only get to spend ~30 min on your problem and it's unrealistic to expect them to be as deeply involved as you are on your healthcare. Yeah, while you yourself can spend days or even weeks researching you health problems and planning your healthcare. - Research your health problems: you don't need to be an expert to read about your health problem, learn the basic anatomy involved and the high and mid-level details of the surgery or treatment. You'll have to look up a lot of terms, but it's not that bad and the articles aren't that difficult to understand at a high-level. - You are also the manager of your healthcare: Planning and seeing the big picture is critical. You can optimize a lot of the planning of appointments, exams and surgeries buy thoughtful planning. And, you can definitely catch a lot of opportunties and mistakes in decisions that are made. Just like in a tech project, a couple of good random ideas can lead you to some fantastic outcomes. There are many more, but yeah, working with the healthcare system is an skill that can be studied and learned. Really useful.
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Focus on the good. It's not Crohns, so unless you've been given the "you have six months" speach, your quality of life is not over, nor is your life.
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Why “when you get” instead of “if you get”. Title assumes we all end up with cancer.
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39.2% (!!!) of people get diagnosed with cancer at some point in their lives
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Thanks for sharing. i hope you get through this.
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Any services that would do this for you?
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Solid advice. On the point about surgery, seems obvious but surgeons are inclined to operate. They aren't inclined to tell you the surgery is unnecessary. They always say it's routine and they've done it many times before. All true but surgery can be very tough on your body as I saw with my late father. Complications happen more than anyone will admit.
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This article is very relevant to me. Just this last Sunday I watched my mother die of melanoma. My big takeaway from the whole ordeal is that you need to take a very active role in your own treatment. Unfortunately I was only able to become actively involved in managing my mother's treatment in the last few weeks. What I saw was a clear pattern of (what I'd regard as) negligence. There were so many missed opportunities to provide the care she needed. I came to the sad realisation that if you're not cracking the whip, many doctors will take the path of least resistance, and that in many cases, the only way to get documentation or help as a relative is to be ready to kick up a stink in-person. I'd be happy to go into more detail.
The second opinion advice is great, and what I tell everyone I know who gets cancer. My mom was diagnosed with stage 1 cancer in 2006 in Idaho. I was a PhD student at MIT at the time and a friend in lab helped me get an appointment at Dana-Farber. I thought it was probably overkill (it was a common cancer) but we did it anyway. They said everything in Idaho was standard of care but suggested one extra test, which Idaho team then reluctantly did, which revealed distant metastasis (stage 4! ), dramatically changing her treatment trajectory. She lived another 15 years (I miss you Mom). Asking for a second opinion sucks. A lot of us are preconditioned from birth to trust our clinicians. But you're going on a journey and your life (or the life of your loved one) is on the line. Insurance often covers it. Your doctor will NOT be offended. Think of it this way : if you were deploying code to the mars rover, and your colleague asked to do a code review before you pushed go, would you be offended? This is even more important than that.
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The only people who trust clinicians are people who haven't been through the healthcare system. There's the before time and after time. It changes you. Which is why the whole Covid thing was such a wake up call for how blindly people trust doctors. Every field has good people, bad people and mediocre people. Doctors are no different. Anyway, I would say I actually had relatively positive experience with Thyroid cancer. I had been seeing my Endo for 10 years at that point since I had hypothyroidism. His nurse was on top of everything. Very calm and reassuring during the whole process. But all my experiences with the healthcare system outside of that were just disappointing. I had RCVS 2 years ago and I was in the ER and the radiologist summarized the report wrong even though he has read it correctly. They were starting me on stroke protocol and giving me these drugs but I had ChatGPT read it and it was like this is wrong. It's supposed to say no significant stenosis in the neck. It actually said significant stenosis in the neck. The dr reported it immediately and the radiologist corrected it. What a shit show. Have a few other stories like that pre LLM's. But you have to advocate for yourself. And always double check the doctors with LLM's now a days.
The first point is by far the most important. The US healthcare system (and probably others) is an unfeeling machine and you have to treat it that way. Ask for earlier appointments, cancellations, and referrals to other specialists. Navigate it as if nobody knows (or cares) what you're up to. Doctors tend to only exist within their silo and it's often on you to request a different type of doctor or even another one of the same type. Be a pain in the ass, your survival may depend on it. Personal story: I was having trouble using my left arm. Like, couldn't lift or type or do much of anything with it. Was told it was a pinched nerve by physiatrists and orthopedists, despite having no pain. Only when I specifically requested for a referral to a second neurologist did he order the head MRI which exposed a brain tumor in my motor cortex. We were able to move quickly and get me on a treatment plan which has bought me a lot of time. Had I not advocated for myself, it would have probably mutated into a much worse type and killed me soon.
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I have a similar but more benign story, and cannot emphasize enough how correct this comment is. I had severe abdominal pain and vomiting. My PCP told me it was GERD and I should lose weight. Two days later I was getting an emergency cholecystectomy because my gall bladder had necrotized. A good shorthand is that unless a doctor has positively identified something through imaging or biopsy do not trust them when they tell you what something is or what to do about it. If you aren't sure how best to advocate for yourself, use AI to help figure out what tests and referrals to ask for. You might feel like a jerk, but don't expect anyone to care about you more than you do.
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Been gone through something similar. It's important to be persistent. My PET-CT was originally scheduled for 6 weeks, and they couldn't get it sooner. I had to call every imaging labs within 50-100 miles radius, eventually got one within the next couple of days. The next important one is to find the best doctor you could afford. I didn't have a lot of faith on my local oncologist, especially when he said that my cancer (nasopharyngeal carcinoma) is rare and had not much experience with it. I was able to get ahold of the chief surgeon at UCSF, purely by luck. Felt a lot better when he said that this type of cancer is pretty common for south-asian descent. He has dealt with it quite often due to a large concentration of asian in the bay area. The treatment sucks, but small price to pay considering I can spend more time with my family.
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The number one thing I tell anyone who is going through any sort of medical situation that requires extensive care, you have to be the biggest advocate for your care. If youre not comfortable doing that, then find a loved one who will stand by your side and be that person. Healthcare is a business and you need to treat it with the same vigor you tackle business problems because your issue is a business problem to them. Don’t forget, Doctors are just well read mechanics
It's not unique to America. Specialists are in high demand everywhere and seeing them means you have to pass through a screen of generalists who first rule out all the common explanations for your symptoms. But GP's point is otherwise true. It's just a job to them. They see dozens of sick people every day. There's no way to be empathetically engaged with all of them or really any of them and still be effective. It's not personal, and they aren't ignoring you. You're a bug report in their ticket system. Understand that and you'll be able to deal with the system more effectively.
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If you have halfway decent insurance in the US you do not need a referral to see a specialist. The exception to this rule is if you are in an HMO like Kaiser which force you through "level one support" (your GP) or if the specialist is so busy they require a referral to screen out the social media schizos.
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However, many (most?) specialists won't see you without a referral unless they are self pay.
It's worse everywhere else. There are no specialists in all of the government-run systems I've dealt with and at some point, you really have no options left. Canada introduced MAID for this reason.
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> Canada introduced MAID for this reason. No they didn't. There are tons of specialists in Canada. You're talking out of your ass.
It's an over generalization but think this person has a point. The US health system has it problems (cost!!), but have read that since it's money driven instead of a government service, compared to other healthcare systems, it's often got a shorter wait time to see a doctor. This makes sense, a lot of students want to become doctors in the US, because they can make a lot of money
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I explored specializing in health econ in college. My professor put it this way - health care is a scarce good. There's only so many doctors, so much medicine, so many beds. You have to control access to the goods somehow, otherwise you have Tragedy of the Commons. In the rest of the world, it's controlled by extended wait times. In the US, it's cost. You can have moral arguments about what's fair, but that's the economic reality. At the time I as studying this (early 2010's), the average wait time of diagnosis to first treatment for breast cancer in the US was 12 days. In NIH, it was 5 months.
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> but have read You read that where? What evidence do you have? In my experience, Americans are often blissfully unaware about how poor their health services are. As someone who has seen many health services up close (from founding a health tech company and literally visiting myriad health establishments around the world, over past few decades), the US hospitals and clinics always struck me as the most run down. But as soon as I walked in the boardroom at UHG or HCA, it suddenly all became a lot more glamorous. And whilst the US does ok with cancer outcomes, so do other nations like Germany, Switzerland, Japan, South Korea, Singapore, Canada, and the United Kingdom. Most advanced nations have universal healthcare with similar outcomes to the US but for significantly less money. They also don’t leave citizens destitute for some unexpected health emergency. The US system funnels profits, it doesn’t provide better healthcare.
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I feel like the >(cost!!) factor can't really be overstated there. IF you have money then you can get healthcare, if you don't, then you're out of luck. It's a massive gate which needs to be passed, and if you can't pass, then you're locked out with no alternative. That doesn't sound great to me (read: broken), because it means its not evenly accessible across your society. I wouldn't count that as a good system to be honest. I have limited experience with the New Zealand and Japanese medical systems, and from a similarly arms-length engagement with them, I think I would prefer them over everything I've read about the US system. You still have the same issues with having to advocate for yourself, but you can at least get access to good healthcare across the board - and if you go private (which as a late 30s / early 40s guy, cost around NZ$60 / month), you can get access to care at private facilities much faster than via public. It is most definitely imperfect, but it _is_ designed to be accessible to everyone.
I had to quite literally sit in a doctor's office and make a public nuisance of myself to get a referral for a family member to a specialist for cancer when the regular doctor said it was just back pain. Then I drove the 2 hours to their office to get the appointment. It was lymphoma. People can't ignore you as effectively if you're in their physical space. When it comes to your health or the health of your family, do not back down. Doctors are used to nuts who googled the symptoms or joined a Facebook group and have all the answers already. Make it clear you have NO answers but NEED them asap.
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This is something I don't understand of the US and other "developed" countries health systems. Here in Mexico, i can get to doctoralia and make an appointment with a high specialist , like a Vascular Neurosurgeon. All by myself. The first visit will to maybe $200 usd (and that's very high) and normally it's a week away at most. No waiting on the private health option. Of course if you go with public health, it's a disaster and a shame.
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What other countries describe is the equivalent of your public health system. If you're willing to pay out of pocket, like you describe, you can have a similar experience in the US. However, that can get expensive quickly since you normally don't have just one appointment with a vascular neurosurgeon.
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I've had similar experiences. It's kind of terrifying, actually, you have to walk the line of being annoying enough to get what you want but not so annoying they completely ignore you. One of the things I've learned is to apply the Socratic method, preferably in front of their colleagues if they try to brush you off. Also, if you've got scary symptoms, demand they write down what your symptoms are on your record and why they aren't concerned, then demand a copy of all relevant records (it's your property) -- this often gets them to reevaluate your risk in terms of their career. Worst case scenario, you can make up medical history. I had a family member pass recently from colorectal cancer. They had symptoms but their PCP kept insisting they were too young. My family member suddenly "remembered" her aunt died of CRC when she was a kid. This got her referred to a gastroenterologist, and they found out she was stage 4...after her PCP delayed her diagnosis for like a year. She actually had grounds for a malpractice suit but who's got the energy or money for that when they're fighting stage 4 cancer? Also, know your state's agency responsible for policing health insurance. This family member's insurance company routinely tried to deny life saving procedures, but a call to the right govt agency set them in line each time.
>Incompetence vs maliciousness etc. Looking at financial reports of the major health insurance stocks in the US makes me wonder if they are really "incompetence". Take United HealthCare (UNH) for example, they reported $112.7 billion and net income of $4.11 billion in Q3/2026. That's great amount of revenue and profits to have enough resources to not stay "incompetence". It's not a coincidence.
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So if they increased the amount of accepted claims by 5% they’d be underwater? Seems like they’re right on the edge here.
> new folder on my Mac, and after appointments I’d dictate what happened and what the doctor said I cannot recommend this enough, including writing down almost every day about symptoms and progress. I didn't have cancer, something else, but it was very valuable to be able to go back and see exactly how long time a symptom has been present and when it disappeared . Doctors also seem to react well to being able to be precise in descriptions of what happened when.
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I have a private EMR system and we plug in everything into it through an agent. Every medication, every sniffle. It’s fun!
Get one of these: https://www.plaud.ai/ You can do whatevvr you want with the audio files - have them transcribe them, summarize them, hand them to an agent, upload them to your cloud, whatever. The standby and talk time is really great on both the pins and the credit card sized versions. I have a lot of friends that now use them with elderly parents/their own medical care when they need to really be able to have something automatically record/transcribe the visits.
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Is there a completely local option for something like this? I love the idea, but I don't love having yet another middleman in between everything I say and the model provider of my choice.
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Device wise - i never found one as good and i played with a bunch. However, you have three options with plaud that i'm aware of: 1. If you want something totally open source: https://github.com/RemiPelloux/OpenPlod Local-first Plaud Note Pro recording vault, transcription, and Markdown workspace. Which sounds like what you want. 2. the Plaud SDK will let you pull from the device and send it wherever you want without touching their servers. 3. You can also use the mobile app, disable cloud sync, and export each audio file as mp3/wav to your phone/tablet/whatever if you don't want to use #1 or #2. You can have it upload to your private cloud without doing any of these, but it still transits their servers first i believe, which it sounds like you are trying to avoid
> AIs may downplay the seriousness of things. I was chatting with various models and most pushed me in the direction of “you don’t have cancer” for a while. Just something to note. This is certainly another data point for "never trust AI chatbots".
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Disagree. You don't take the evaluation at face value. You still push back and explore every thread. You don't abandon your own logical reasoning. But you definitely want to scour the entire search space for solutions. And the most efficient means for that is LLMs. It's my experience that doctors are compartmentalized in their thinking, limited in their time, and definitely will not be extensively exploring your case. E.g., I had 30 years of resistant hypertension. Multiple medications. Saw many cardiologists. Nephrologists. I was told to "just lose weight." BP was erratic over the years. ER visits. It was awful. I googled. Pheochromocytoma. Hyperaldosteronism. Asked the cardiologist, "Could it be this?" "NAAAAH, just lose weight." But I insisted on a referral to an endocrinologist. And when I suggested it to them, given my extensive history, they were basically like, "Oh yes, we'll get you tested. I'm surprised you haven't been tested before?" I had a left adrenalectomy 6 months later. BP has been controlled ever since. They don't know everything. They can't.
This is the opposite of the experience people have when googling symptoms, though, where you often find articles suggesting that you’ve got some very serious condition when you do not. Interesting that the human bias when reading WebMD type articles is the opposite of the bias of LLMs.
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True! However, don't both biases point to "don't (primarily) decide by googling or asking an LLM"? You'll either be extremely scared or extremely reassured.
But OpenAI said we have AGI now...
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AGI isn't magic. Not even an excellent oncologist can reliably diagnose you without actually looking at you first.
> we all win Do we all? Or does anyone with enough money to pay for Anthropic's IP, win? Nothing states that Anthropic/OpenAI/... have to share information they have generated. As the crunch for income becomes real, I doubt valuable things will remain free.
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I don't see any scenario where showing that we can tremendously improve medical care, even if it's IP/trade secret from an AI company, isn't a win, when integrated over all the variables. If they succeeded, you can bet everybody else will be duplicating their results within 2-3 years.
Suicide rates highest ever among middle-aged men (telegraph.co.uk)
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This was a tough article for me. I'm only alive because I have to be. I have one family member left and poor health, and when they are gone, I don't really see the point of sticking around. The last thing I wanna do is die alone, or worse, confined to a nursing home, abused by underpaid staff. Yes: I have tried over 15 medication's, therapy, you name it. I came to the conclusion a few years ago that accepting that my life has an end, and they I will make that decision to end it, has been comforting. I feel like it's the only, perhaps last control, I might ever have
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44, unemployed since July, on a cross country train trip trying to decide if it is worth going on. Stood on a bridge a bit too long the other day just wondering what the point is. It is over for a lot of us in IT. It isn't going to get better, it is going to get worse very quickly. Rather than tell myself a convenient lie, I'd rather try to figure out why to keep living in a world like this. Anyone going through the same thing, I hope you find something worth living for.
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I wrote an article about youth mental health for my substack recently that touched on this. The suicide rate for the 50-59 demographic is far higher than the general population, but it collapses once you hit retirement age. If I had to guess, social supports for seniors plays a role.
I am 36 and I have been thinking about suicide a tiny bit lately. But I will share my perspective with you, hopefully to draw a picture how different circumstances can be. I live in Ukraine and my optionality in life collapsed the day the war started. I had a good life, good income and traveled a lot. I used to dream of a career in big tech and life in different countries just to give it a taste. Now I am not able to leave the country because I am a male of conscription age. My city is being attacked by drones daily, and ballistic rockets a few times a month. Witnessing your country getting wrecked with rockets and drones is hell of an experience. Businesses, electricity plants, infrastructure, gas stations becoming rubble. There is also little hope in a resolution of this soon. I have to work on a job which provides a reservation from military service if I don’t want to fight, otherwise I will be picked up on the street to join the military. I have it so much better than a lot of my countrymen, but holy shit does this suck and it is not getting better anytime soon. The hopelessness gets you. Software engineering is one of my last remaining pillars of life remaining more or less intact. At least I get to write some code and make computers do things. Life is a strange thing.
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I hope more than anything Ukrainians will stay strong and persevere. Perhaps not even for themselves or their country, but just to witness the enemy collapse when it all ends. The mere fact that you are Ukrainian and live in Ukraine invokes a certain level of respect.
Man this is for real. I’m 46 and I tell my therapist and my friends that I’m not suicidal but like… can we wrap this shit up already? (A tasteless joke stolen from Tom Segura) I have been meditating on WHY I feel this way. On paper things are pretty good. I’m married. I have a job that is safe for now. I have kids. Two dogs. A house. Two cars. But I feel really lonely and unseen and like I am a disappointment to everybody including myself. Like it makes sense I’m unseen because I’m unexceptional. So I’ve done some things that have helped a little including scheduling lunches with friends and coworkers, more frequent date nights (especially double date nights), working out (setting and achieving even small pointless goals like mile time, distance, weight lifted, etc really helps). All of that and it feels like I’m bailing water out of a sinking ship. It is barely enough to stay afloat and heaven help me if I skip a day or make a mistake… It is hard to imagine doing this for another 30 years… I used to think Soma was one of the more disturbing ideas in Brave New World. These days, I understand the temptation a little better.
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You have kids. Got to live on for them.
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I see you, and I feel the same way. You have articulated the dread of the monotonous sisyphean slog of being middle-aged.
I graduated college in 1992. 2 male friends from college died by their own hand within the last decade. By most measures, they were successful professionals.
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I think part of the problem in that instance, might be "success" being necessary but not sufficient for "surviving and thriving"; and unfortunately sometimes that isn't explained along the way to even people who become conventionally successful (but, perhaps we can try to improve an awareness of the issue going forward for future gens)
I'm 40 and am accepting I will be single forever. I'm in shape / constantly lifting weights, dress well, work hard on maintaining a good attitude, and am financially stable etc. But not a great face, and extremely skinny (Think Oppenheimer or Bin Laden), am not funny or charismatic, and am not into dogs. Dating is a kick in the butt. Women don't "Feel the spark"
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A helpful thought for me was that literally everyone could reject you, except one person, and that's all you need is just that one person. Also along with that principle, maybe 99% of people actually aren't a good match for me, so if I mostly don't "click" with other people, that's totally fine — I don't know if I would want to be with 99% of possible people myself even if they were interested in me. It's just about finding the right kind of person that's similar to you. People with unique attributes may find someone else with the same unique attributes, or the other person may possess unique attributes that might somehow be a good fit for your unique attributes.
Is that not the epitome of the classic mid life crisis? You hit a point in your life, reflect back on where you'd thought you'd be when you were in your early 20s, and think.. shit.. what I do all of this for? This isn't even a flippant comment (especially given the subject matter); being at this age and thinking "I imagined it would all be easy by now" does hit home.
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> Is that not the epitome of the classic mid life crisis? I think there's a step change from say the silent gen/baby boomer generations where a midlife crisis was realizing you lived the classic "American Dream" but weren't going to be a rockstar or super wealthy, compared to now where a midlife crisis could easily be wondering if you will continue to have any economic value at all years before social security kicks in. Admittedly this is America-centric, but that's my lived perspective, and also I recognize that things weren't always very stable even here, thus why I am comparing a couple of specific generations to the ones that followed. There was, for a time when I was younger (as a Gen-Xer), just an assumed sense that each generation would have it better than the last. Naive, perhaps, but alas. And obviously far less people assume that anymore.
maybe some just don't want to live that long. does everyone need to live as long as possible? you live your youth, and maybe that is enough for some. if you start to hurt every day, get diagnosed with age-related disease, your cognition starts to deteriorate, etc, you might just decide "hey, i lived enough. i don't want to go through years of feeling like this."
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That's why Mishima topped himself at the age of 45: as a physical-conditioning buff, he realized it was all downhill from there.
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I think about this increasingly often. I have accomplished much, and have seen much of the world. I have also lived through gruesome deaths in my family and have seen how aging in America, under American healthcare looks. I retired in 2023, not because I could, but because I couldn't not. I'm almost 50. My parents died in their early 60s. I have some of their health problems, and some of my own. I also destroyed my back in a motorcycle accident many years ago and live with constant pain. My favorite things to do, which bring my peace and joy, involve me sitting in a chair, which hurts my back. In my youth I rode my bicycle avidly, which now hurts my back. I love gardening, and if I do it too much, it hurts my back. It became increasingly clear to me that my "purpose" in this country is to work until I die. I know that there are other countries, and other kinds of lives, but they are not where my wife and friends and life are. I am happy, relatively healthy, and love life. I would like to live forever if I could. I know I could fill every minute of it with things I find interesting, even if it was just reading every single book. But I've seen what American life looks like in your 60s and older, and it's not fucking pretty for most people.
> One sunny spot I have is that life is very long. Not sure exactly where you are in it, but as a 53 year old I disagree. The younger I was the less likely I would have been to disagree but imo/ime the older you get the faster it feels like it is flying by. > and a full pivot is alright The AI-related existential dread is that it is very unclear what a pivot looks like when the ground under everything is shifting all at once. The shifting is certainly a lot more obvious in our career than some others, but all of that shift (so far) happened more or less in a mere 10 months and is accelerating. And I don't think it is very likely that our career will stay anomalous for very long in terms of how much AI impact there is.
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yeah, you're down to like 3/4 a career left, it makes sense that you feel that way. Less runway ought to feel different. I do agree that a safe 'next' is unclear. But I also think if ai truly hits all knowledge work as hard as it might we're looking at up to 50% unemployment. Frankly there is no point career planning at all in that scenario. We will all have much larger problems. And if it doesn't, then pivoting to some field with a combination of rewarding work and 'enough' pay seems sensible enough.
at 40 I became a woman and never been happier
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Serious congratulations. I understand untreated gender dysphoria is a huge predictor of suicide.
Wives organizing social events, I think is part of the conventional wisdom? And more communal work and eating together after work etc.
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This. And also commutes were radically shorter than they are today, with more commuter services in many smaller cities than exist today. We shifted from a sole-provider/homemaker model of couples to a dual-income-required model, at the same time our choices on car dependency and suburban sprawl came back to bite us in the ass. The working from home era was great for socializing because we could agree on small group nights if we were all feeling well, knowing we didn’t have huge commutes ahead of us after work and with the extra money in our pockets from lowered work costs; RTO mandates killed that again, as did the sudden jump in real estate costs, inflation, and stagnating wages in the face of AI investment. That’s just the average, too. For edge cases like me in unorthodox households or living arrangements, it’s even harder.
I’ve lost a lot of my spark in the past 6 years as well. So much has happened that it’s impossible to pinpoint one root cause, it’s all contributing. Don’t know if you’re soliciting advice, but there are a few things that keep me feeling the way I did before: physical exercise, and live music. Unfortunately I find less time as the week goes by to dedicate to those things, but I at least know they’re there. Therapeutic writing that out loud, in a way.
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> I've lost a lot of my spark in the past 6 years as well. I felt similarly and had a "crisis" point at the start of 2025. I realised that living a fulfilling life had to become my top priority, no matter how difficult or uncomfortable it may seem. Otherwise, I might not survive another 30 years. Now I can see a bit of the mechanism behind the dimming of the spark. I had gradually conceded the direction of my life to external forces, and let anxiety and self-doubt drive my decisions. It's a great way to end up with a life that you don't want. I shudder to think of what it's like to do that for 20 years instead of 5.
AI hasn't made a dent in my enjoyment of my hobbies and tech (the opposite, now I have more toys to play with than ever), but politics? Oh man, politics becoming the new religion has absolutely ruined pretty much everything for me. I don't believe in politics. For me left and right are all *the same*. Just a bunch of megalomaniacs wanting to hog power for themselves. This extremely hot take has made people call me more names and costed me more relationships than if I went out and started screaming slurs in a crowded street. Because I am a "fence sitter" or whatever. And I just can't handle it anymore, I just went full recluse. I don't go into social media anymore, I don't talk to anyone at a personal level anymore. Outside of some github issues and some comments here, I don't touch socials anymore. I am just overwhelmed by the level of vitriol and hate the new internet is based on.
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I don't know how sincere this comment is, but if there are others thinking this way, it's a mistake. Nihilism is a dead end (or political cynicism/fatalism, whatever you want to call it). Social media is a veil of manipulation, engagement maximization, and bots. Do not misconstrue it as any kind of real or productive politics. There is a signal there amongst the noise, but it's hard to make sense of if you do not have a coherent world model or belief system. You have to learn to cut through it if you want to keep your sanity.
Same, in many senses. But you can’t fully detach from humanity without losing your own humanity. Forget socials, and pretty much all media consumption, but go talk to real people, make friends, find an human partner. Even raise a family.
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"Go talk to real people" is easier said than done post-Covid. I'm in a European university city where even young people are complaining online of a dearth of opportunities for in-person socializing -- there is a good amount of cultural events and cafes to go out to every night, but it has become taboo to talk to strangers there even among young people, and a single middle-aged man's attempts to socialize would not be welcomed.
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Sadly I can't raise a family. This January I got a pretty bad brush with death and got diagnosed with something pretty bad and I don't have a lot left. After 5 high-risk surgeries (because of the medication making me bleed too much) I finally regained some autonomy and can move again, but I can't have kids. My bloodline ends with me, and it's better this way because this is hereditary and gets worse every generation. My kids would die at ~20 if lucky, according to the doctors. Even knowing this, people around me still called me all sorts of things for not having strong opinions on random political things or wars. How can I worry about that when I am going to die soon anyway? Got enough in my plate to think about global politics.
It's ironic that the "acktually.." atheist/anti-theist crowd don't do a modicum of research when it comes to this kind of stuff. It's pretty well-established in the literature that folks plugged into a religious community live better, happier, and healthier lives[1]. Millenial cynicism is so boring. [1] https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC5127763/
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In my opinion, this is a form of hatred.
I have multiple herniated discs in my back so working out isn't possible. The V.A. wouldn't help with it either... But thanks for the suggestion! I'll be going the way of the people in the article so ya'll enjoy what you got! Many of us have nothing. :)
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Perhaps my advice was too narrow/specific to my situation. If you can't deadlift, then don't. But there are many other things you can do, as the other commenters have suggested. But if you're in the mentality of _not wanting_ to have anything, then all the advice in the world will bounce off you. My suggestion, then, is to work on that mentality. Do something to get you anything , to get you out of that "Many of us have nothing" mindset. Build momentum. Physically doing something is often what it takes to break a mental barrier. The mind spirals and digs a hole, especially at night. But you get to participate in life/society/people during the day, which is why doing bodily things affects the mind and can break its loops. You won't "win" on the first attempt. But you'll make progress. And the real win-condition is to keep playing. The first step is always the hardest. I wish you the best.
I don't know if it's common but I generally don't like to be bad at my hobbies. I like it when I can do things well. I've been learning the piano recently and striving to play more difficult songs is what makes it fun.
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I keep wanting to say the same thing. In fact, how other people describe hobbies is why I don't like the term hobbies. I think music is a good example of sometimes you need to not have fun to have fun. Practice isn't really fun, but if you can put up with it you can have a lot of fun. So you can say that the not fun parts are part of the fun parts because it's what gives you the payoff. But when people then go and send you a Suno generated song, and say it's better than yours, it is them devaluing the "not fun" parts you had to put up with. I've had people do similar things to code projects I've done. It's a real buzz kill. I also really value when musicians critique my songs, even when I feel defensive about it. Because then it's not about them devaluing my time, it's about them helping me grow, and they know how it feels to go through that process.
This is a weird PoV - that a hobby is only a hobby if there is no community and you do it solo. Sounds like you're saying tennis can't be a hobby. Nor videogames, nor making movies, writing stories, etc. I mean, it'd be hilarious if it wasn't so tragic: hobbies via a community is still a hobby. There is no requirement that to qualify as a hobby it has to be completely audience-free.
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>that a hobby is only a hobby if there is no community and you do it solo Didn't say that. >Sounds like you're saying tennis can't be a hobby. Nor videogames, nor making movies, writing stories, etc. Nope, those are not conclusions you can draw from what I said. >hobbies via a community is still a hobby Yup, don't disagree with that. >There is no requirement that to qualify as a hobby it has to be completely audience-free. Never said that. What I did say as that producing a product which is meant to be consumed by others and which offers you no joy if it isn't consumed isn't a hobby- it's a job. Money doesn't need to be exchanged for it to be a profit-seeking activity. And to be clear: I'm not saying there's anything wrong with that. But what I am saying is that, fundamentally, AI can't make a proper hobby obsolete. The OP is disheartened because his "hobby" is no longer relevant because AI can do his hobby better than him. Just take a step back and think about that: does it make any sense? Can you think of a reasonable example of a hobby where this dynamic can ever occur? Like, AI has gotten pretty good at music. Does that mean everybody who was in a band for the fun of it all disbanded because AI can make music better than them? Of course not; they still enjoy making music. Now, a band who is trying to make money off of their efforts may be facing a different reality: if people are able to generate better music than what they can produce for way cheaper, then staying in a band for profit is a hard sell. But note that in both instances, these people (who are clearly operating within a community) are doing the same exact activity, but one set of people are doing it as a hobby while the other is doing it as a job. And again, to be clear: I'm not saying the OP's feelings aren't valid. They wanted to produce something that others would find valuable, and AI made their efforts obsolete. That sucks, and they're clearly not alone. What I'm disagreeing with is the notion that that is a hobby. And that's an important distinction, because the OP is claiming they don't have a hobby anymore and I'm claiming they never did. They should have a hobby- a proper hobby- because it's important for humans to have hobbies for their own well being.
I wish I could take up gardening but alas I live in an apartment like most other people... I suppose you got me, I have no hobbies and it's just another reason to not want to be here. :) Everything is work and not much fun, is it?
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Woe is you...
This is hideous.
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It's not. At all. If someone likes digging tunnels by hand, that's a hobby. If someone is mad that tunneling companies make it hard for them to find "hand tunneling work", that's not a hobby. That's someone thinking their work is owed attention. Go find a hobby that you like doing for yourself. Why do you think so many engineers turn to woodworking? It isn't because they think they're going to compete with Ikea.
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Rhetorical analogies are for people who can not, or will not, respect the subject on its own terms. This is hideous.
Fire at Starlink site in Bulgaria after suspected sabotage in Poland (dpa-international.com)
I am getting a bit concerned that Russia is actually planning an attack on Eastern Europe. It’s just like red storm rising, their refineries have been blown up and their diesel will only last 6 months. They need to move now or they’ll have to accept peace and economic prosperity.
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> their refineries have been blown up and their diesel will only last 6 months. They literally just struck a deal with the US to export diesel, and Trump has been pressuring Ukraine (most recently by disabling Starlink) into not attacking refineries in Russia. Like, situation is the opposite of what you're saying. EDIT: To be clearer in case you need it. As they agreed to export means they definitely have for more than 6 months (and I believe 6 months claim is naive at best.). And as US is pressuring Ukraine to not attack refineries means they'll be safe.
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Far be it from me to suggest that Trump has announced a deal that would be physically impossible to execute just to try to swing the upcoming midterm elections by a couple points, but my guess is the next we hear of the deal is when he's telling us it was ruined by Democrats somehow.
this goes both ways; they'd be gambling that NATO doesn't launch things into Russia. From the accounts I've seen they did strip down the rest of the border forts to supply Ukraine. Also, most of NATO's existing resources are currently not doing much but standing around. You can question how useful NATO's 'pre-drone' material is, and how much hasn't already been sent to Ukraine, but it's not nothing.
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>they'd be gambling that NATO doesn't launch things into Russia The official discourse in Russia is that NATO is already helping Ukraine launch things into Russia. So there's no gamble; for them, it's already a fact. Except, currently, it's just a proxy war where Ukraine has to jump through hoops to get military aid and targets approved, and it can only fire from Ukraine's territory. With a direct confrontation, there's no doubt that far more would be launched into Russia.
So you think that Ukraine is able to pull out such operation on foreign soil in matter of hours?
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Of course they are.
At heart, honestly, I hope you are right, but the signs are there.
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I only see signs of concern trolling and perhaps a bit of pro-Russian bias, to be honest.
> "Bulgarian Interior Minister Ivan Demerdzhiev told parliament that additional security measures had been introduced at similar facilities, even though responsibility for their protection rested with their owners." It seems absurd that the government is blaming SpaceX for not securing its property against trespass and vandalism/arson, especially when it seems likely that the violations are by foreign-state-sponsored actors. If this sort of issue is not the responsibility of local police and federal agencies, I am not sure what is. I understand that railways in some countries have their own police, but it is my understanding that SpaceX has not been granted such powers in any country.
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When you start acting militarily, secure your own shit militarily.
It's the government's job to protect both individuals and corporations against foreign attack. It's even the government's job to protect against crime.
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This is not how this works, corporations are not people. As a provider for digital infrastructure, Starlink is required to comply with the EU Critical Entities Resilience (CER) Directive, which mandates strict physical and digital security as well as business continuity in case of crisis. The nature of this incident indicates a security issue on the site of Starlink, which is their duty, not the governments. They may have not been in compliance with this directive, which puts local infrastructure and citizens and risk.
How is a tax-paying corporation different from a tax-paying person? It's in the core interest of any government to protect its citizens, including corporate ones.
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Both need to act in compliance with local laws and mandates, it's not the job of the government to fill the gaps. Corporations have more duties of different scale than individuals. Starlink is a provider of Digital Infrastructure, and is already classified as "Essential Entity" under the EU CER-directive. As such, it needs to comply with so-called "Physical-Cyber Convergence Requirements", which entails 1. Perimeter and Access Defense 2. All-Hazards Mitigation: Designing infrastructure to resist natural disasters, severe climate changes, or physical sabotage/terrorism. 3. Vetted Personnel: Utilizing mandatory background checks and security clearances for operators working in sensitive zones Not much is known about this incident at this stage, and I'm sure the government will conduct own investigations. But regardless of the outcome, it will be the duty of Starlink to secure its facilities.
> It seems absurd that the government is blaming SpaceX for not securing its property against trespass and vandalism/arson, especially when it seems likely that the violations are by foreign-state-sponsored actors. SpaceX is actively meddling in foreign-state wars picking whichever side they choose to support on which day. They made their bed.
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> SpaceX is actively meddling in foreign-state wars Starlink is banned, by the US government, from operating in a military context, and cannot be used for military purposes. Do you have a reference/examples for them meddling/supporting wars, or a hint at what you're referring to for someone out of the loop? This is not allowed by very many laws and policies that have been in place since the company started operating. I suspect you're making a logical leap that them stopping means they're now supporting some opposition?
Demerdzhiev, Radev and their entire cabinet in general just avoid blaming Russia for some “unknown” reason as a blanket policy. Yesterday, Russia bombed two Ukrainian ships super close to Bulgaria’s waters in the Black Sea, 11 civilians died, and the PM still says we can’t make any conclusions about the perpetrators when questioned in parliament today. I’m trying to say that the logical conclusion is to shift the responsibility explicitly to SpaceX, since otherwise you have to admit the attacks are state sponsored and you have to name the perpetrator.
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They just move the burden of proof and responsibility as needed. 4 ships carrying Ukraine cargo sunk by drones in Bulgarian waters, one of the ships Ukraine owned and the crew full of Ukrainians? No evidence whatsoever on who could have done it so we don’t blame anyone. Yes yes logic says it must be Russia but we need concrete evidence, so unfortunate. Ukraine responds to Russian attacks? Why Ukraine doesn’t want peace! Why Ukraine doesn’t just capitulate? The coalition of war(he means countries who support Ukraine militarily) is causing so much suffering. The pro-Russian folks are insufferable.
If you have to defend it yourself why pay taxes? Why not use the money to hire your private army instead?
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So you agree "taxpayers should be on the hook for everything"? Every place SpaceX decides to operate, regardless of what taxpayers want, the taxpayers should foot the entire security bill for their private facilities? Sounds like socialism.
>If It's Worth Your Time To Lie, It's Worth My Time To Correct It Where did I lie? >to be a scholar is divine (imho) Being an internet armchair warrior isn't really being a scholar though. Reddit is full of these too. >because I've done well. Condolences to those who haven't yet. Good luck to those who continue to grind for frivolous causes. Wow, how modest and humble too.
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I should’ve been more specific with regards to my citation. You asked for evidence, I provided links as requested. Is it worth my time to? Sure, it takes but a moment. We discuss on a foundation of facts and evidence. Is my time spent doing other activities instead of discussing current events? It’s irrelevant, it’s how I choose to spend my time. I share, I learn, I know. I don’t have strong feelings on the topic, and how others think of me is not important to me (with regards to your comments about how I spend my time). Facts are facts. I hope this context answers your questions.
Banks are now trying to offload the AI data center debt they just underwrote (startupfortune.com)
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This sounds like fearmongering. Banks aren't in the business of collecting on debt. They are in the business of writing loans they can sell to people who collect the debt. This is pretty standard business in the 2020s. Not defending data centers or AI or whatever, not denying that there is an AI bubble. Just saying that this is how business is done now.
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Y/N Is this our chance to 'get rich' by buying a negative valued asset? Like that time barrels were trading at 0$ or negatives?
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With bad dentists (1) and bad debt underwriters on the HN front page, I love that subjective diagnosis remains challenging and topical. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=50050553
> This doesn't seem like a story at all given how robust this debt is trading. That directly contradicts specific points made in the story, about specific Tier 1 banks and specific amounts of debt not finding buyers. And the amount cited isn't all that great, given the overall equity in play. > Nothing out of hte[sic] ordinary here Matthew Moniot, Man Group: "the deal sizes involved are 'out of scale to anything we've thought about, ever.'" Hard to compare your model with his, since he doesn't have one. When quotes from named credit risk guys from named finance organizations sound like angsty Gen Z, it's not ordinary. In any case, the story is covering something significant. There is an important test occurring, and we're all going to learn the results, sooner or later. It could all turn out fine, but I don't know. I don't believe you really know either.
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Well I'd agree the size of these deals are far larger than any debt deals I can remember in the past 10 years. But that has nothing to do with the scare tactic headline that says banks are trying tot offload debt. As I said this is exactly how banks work and how they treat all debt they underwrite.
I'm confused. Why would you offload it if you thought it was a good investment?
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Banks like good investments, but they like being paid fees more
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The short answer is to free up money to make other investments. The longer answer is that banks generally have policies about how concentrated they can be in individual borrowers, industry sectors, geographies, etc. That is why you rarely see a single bank take all of a very large corporate loan. They syndicate it out.
Listening to Ed Zitron on various podcasts, there are several issues with Oracle stocks: 1. they are one place above junk; 2. they are being treated as effectively junk; 3. if they get classified as junk, any pension portfolios holding Oracle stock must sell as they can't hold junk stocks. If that happens then there will be a cascade of effects. Not just in the AI/datacentre sector but elsewhere, as Larry Ellison holds a stake in Paramount/helped finance the Paramount/WB merger. [1] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rHaPfdnRoZ4 -- Mostly Economics Podcast #55: Who pays when the AI bubble bursts with Ed Zitron (12:36 - 23:53)
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You could have made a lot of money betting against Ed Zitron over the past few years. Of course past performance is no guarantee of future results, as they say.
Because the general consensus at this point appears to be that the notes will fail. You wouldn’t buy a loan if you thought it wasn’t going to be repaid.
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> You wouldn’t buy a loan if you thought it wasn’t going to be repaid. Eh, people do weird things all the time. Also, there is often extreme information asymmetry.
Oracle is a really serious problem, because they actually are too big to fail. Nobody can take Oracle's core business that quickly. So multiple governments, internationally, are going to have to step in to preserve the various outposts of Oracle that keep them and major organisations running. Those bits could be sold off to different global consulting firms, I suspect. (But aren't those global consulting firms also going to be freaked out about their own AI risks? And what does the whole AI-assisted coding thing do to a sober assessment of what all of Oracle's global business is worth? Lots of unanswered questions) Also that is not the AI data centre bits; those will have to be chopped off and dumped. If that doesn't seriously spook the markets — a company as well-known and formerly blue-chip as Oracle, needing an international bailout — then it would be kind of surprising.
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Oracle’s customers/counterparties aren’t really at risk of becoming unsecured creditors in a bankruptcy situation though, so there’s no contagion risk, so “too big to fail” does not mean what it means when you’re talking about a systemically important financial institution.
I saw an article a couple of days ago on one of the popular sites (ft or Bloomberg or something), about how now is a great opportunity to purchase private company credit. Guess this is the submarine https://paulgraham.com/submarine.html
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Wow, 2 lines in and I realize I already read this article waaay back, before I even knew what a startup was, much less who paul graham was. The world is a napkin
Honestly, that would be more like the railway mania in the 1840s or, really, insert any "Panic of X" here. Speculative mania has been a thing for centuries and will continue to be a thing for a centuries. The specific problem of the 2008 financial crisis was that the banks were going out of their way to obfuscate the source of their CDOs so that, even when it was clear in 2007 that the subprime mortgage market was unraveling, you couldn't look at your instruments and figure out whether or not you were affected. The problem wasn't the CDO, it was the obfuscation. And as far as I'm aware, the current debt offerings aren't being obfuscated--if you want to avoid the data center debt because you think it's junk, just avoid the stuff being touted as data center debt.
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> The problem wasn't the CDO, it was the obfuscation. yes, i specificly remember when Lehman went under the banks stopped trusting each other's ability to assess their own exposure. The banks stopped lending to other banks and that's when Paulson got on his knees (literally, i think there's a picture of him on his knees in front of Nancy Pelosi) asking congress for cash to guarantee loans. The side effects started squirting out everywhere i think even Mcdonald's was hours away from bankruptcy because the corporate paper market suddenly ceased to exist. Also, money market returns turned negative briefly. It was bizarro world for maybe 72hrs. The movies don't really do justice to just how upside down and nonsensical the financial world became. It was a knife's edge for 2 or 3 days.
Show HN: Petal, open-source CoScreen/ScreenHero finally free (petal.live)
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Reminds me of Tuple ( https://tuple.app/ ), which was also billed as a Screenhero replacement
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Will give it a try! How is LiveKit working for you in terms of achieving low input2video latency? Did it lend itself to getting tuned for this application?
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One of our engineers is working on a very low latency video/audio mode for gaming. The truth is Petal isn't yet as tuned as say CoScreen was for low latency. It's on our product roadmap to have a mode to support this though. Some of our engineers have discussed a totally p2p iroh based video transport and other ideas. LiveKit was the fastest/easiest way to get it to market, and it was something Till and I volunteered to pay for at the moment so we have an off-the-shelf cloud offering that is free and usable. From that perspective it has worked great.
Better late than never! Given CoScreen's very recent demise, we felt this space deserved some love still. Hopefully you try it out some time, and provide feedback.
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Hell yes, thankyou for this! Our team literally been moaning for weeks every time we use Tuple (and Pop! and huddles, and every other tool we tried) that it wasn’t co-screen!
America didn't lose its rare earth industry, it sold it (lawfaremedia.org)
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Obviously if you know someone with rare earth mines who will mine it for pennies compared to what you can you buy from them. I am not aware of any hidden story here. Yes rare earths are everywhere, yes it sucks separating them, yes China does it cheaper and we shut ours down and sold them off. When someone says "Didnt lose its...", A mine that is shutdown is a loss, because its no longer financially viable to operate. So are we debating what "lose" means? Open up any old idled steel plants lately?
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The proposal is unnecessarily complex. The Feds should just start a rare earth company and contract out its operations. That’s how enriched uranium production is handled.
In a grown up world with grown ups ruling countries and acting rationally, this would just be efficiency increase in the markets. The US do high qualification job like engineering design, state of the art manufacturing and the such and other countries go to manufacture nuts, bolts and magnets that are mainly low qualification jobs for cheap. But, we don't live in that world and the magnet dudes wanna wield the magnets against us and the high quali jobs dudes somehow wanna go back to making nuts and bolts.
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Why would the magnet dudes accept that the US gets the high quality jobs and they get to be powerless forever?
its a mistake to think that the US will have any kind of monopoly on 'high qualification' jobs when the social convection engine that labor powered is dead. We are becoming a nation of finance bros, vibe coders, and a growing and permeant underclass of just about everyone else. The rest of the world has caught up after the postwar era and if we want to compete, we need to cut out the cancer that is systemic massive wealth disparity. A healthy society finds roles for all it's citizens, not just the ones with the right credentials.
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I see this a lot , people somehow under the belief that high-skill/high-paying jobs will remain here and the low-skill/low-paying jobs stay over there. And then are somehow shocked and surprised when other people also want those high $ jobs. It's just such a tenuous grip on reality.
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If you've spent your lifetime voting for all the policy that sent the industrial jobs overseas you have to tell yourself that to sleep at night.
America didn't lose manufacturing jobs it sold them The whole economy for 40-ish years now been built on finance engineering away labors grip on anything in the US
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>The whole economy for 40-ish years now been built on finance engineering away labors grip on anything in the US Because when these plants and facilities come up for reinvestment the rules and laws have inevitably made a piecemeal sell out the only financially viable move. The environmentalists point at the financiers. The financiers point at the environmentalists. It's like the two party system. Worse, there was always some degree of unwritten understanding between government and big business. Like if big business built out a factory they would expect to use it for 50-100yr with refreshes every 30 or so. When the government started crapping on that sort of thing to the degree that various investments became wholly non-viable it became risky to make those investments, less of them, less to spread any risk over, more expensive, it's a spiral. And so if you can't be sure your facility will be allowed to be viable in the long term you've gotta milk what you can each quarter.
Once you make it hard to build something, the incentives to build the thing goes away. Can you imaging trying to build a factory in California in 2026? Or 2006? The NIMBYs can barely stand building an ice cream store.
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The guy who runs SendCutSend has repeatedly said he'd love a CA facility but it wouldn't pencil out without the value-add powder coating, electro plating, painting and other services offered and that intentionally adversarial state policy precludes new facilities that do that so he's not gonna try.
Fortunately you can build in other parts of the US. There are a lot of places that would love to have you build in the US. Many of them would not be your first choice of where to live. If you only need 10 employees many small towns would love to have you, but they can't supply much more labor than that. 50 employees there are tiny cities that would love to have you, but not all of them.
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Look what is happening to the attempts to build AI data centers. The only thing democrats and republicans can agree on is that building AI data centers should be stopped.
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I think much of the opposition to data centers is because companies are rushing to build them as quickly as possible. When you are building a traditional factory, you probably expect it to remain operational for 30+ years, so it makes sense to get the local community on board first. But a data center building could be obsolete in 10–20 years, if the requirements change enough that it's not feasible to retrofit it for new hardware.
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Not in all places. However you will see the places where they are stopped in the news.
Some analysts, notably Andre Martyanov, describe how the US has lost strategic thinking and long-range planning in the military domain. The loss of the US ability to mine and refine rare earths is a good example of absence of strategic thinking in the supply chain.
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Or corruption.
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Capitalist businesses don't work in strategic and long-range terms, they work on quarterly earnings. Who gives a shit about sovereign capability if you can have a real good earnings report?
>...put a break on moving in the right direction and now we need to react - What do you mean "the right direction"? Do you mean the "open and free direction" that "Hey you can't have our Nvidia chips but must keep selling us cheap rare earth"? - And who are "we"? I suggest "we"'d better take care of "ourselves" instead of "react".
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That looks like a strawman. Try: " Away from a dictatorship."
Long term thinking is pretty bad too tbh when you dig in at what the different schools of thought imagine about the drivers of politics. The electoral constituencies for the antinomianism, authoritarianism and victim-complex revanchism in the West that has prevented friendship between the world powers are all comprised of the same alliance between two groups repeated hundreds of times: moderately impoverished populist masses facing more of the same and industry oligarchs looking to return the west to feudal plantation economies as reprisal for any cultural slights they feel the public has given them. The latter group always exists to some extent but the former group only exists because disposable energy (joules, watts, BTU, etc) per capita has been steadily falling since 1973. The golden age of shale exploitation bucked this trend but that has ended too. You can fiddle about with using different financial or interest rates proxies for this if you want but going into joules per person after extraction is the heart of the matter. If this decline did not exist, we would not be in the world we're in by a long shot. But if you look at the predictions they're all off. The media, academia, popular culture and business culture expected continuous growth to put fusion power plants on Mars. The UN, IEA, DoE, Long Now people expected moderate growth to sustainable replacement of gas turbines with optimistic greentech buildout figures that use more lithium and copper than can ever be mined. The economic counterculture like NakedCapitalism and The Oil Drum expected Mad Max. Nobody predicted the existence of the voter base that brought us the last run of presidents, they predicted different voter bases. Some of the predictors even imagined that the importance of Pennsylvania Avenue would slowly vanish without anybody minding.
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>Nobody predicted the existence of the voter base that brought us the last run of presidents, they predicted different voter bases. Surely there was someone in the 1980s or 90s that saw the demographic writing on the wall and tried to warn everyone and got laughed at.
Neckbeard – A DevOps/platform/SRE plugin for your agent (github.com/bealesh)
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The guy in the image doesn't look very euphoric, not even in a subtle way. Sorry, not the neckbeard plugin I was looking for. Mine must be influenced by aalewis.
Why do you need a plug-in for this? You can just ask the agents to do all this stuff and it works fine in my experience.
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dig into the repo and you'll find libraries of opentofu that are quite opinionated - the point of the plugin is to inject opinions that the agents don't have.
Hetzner is awesome, I prefer it to aws for personal projects, feel free to analyze my modularized instance setup with an LLM and rip out what you need, it's all hand built, most of the engineering went into cloud-init and network security - before machines could generate the same in hours lul https://github.com/fiscalismia/fiscalismia-infrastructure/tree/main/terraform/hetzner-cloud
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killer! will take a look - I need a digital ocean alternative.
Oh that's neat. Yeah I got started on heroku too. Fly.io also comes to mind. We run our own gitlab instance in a central AWS account that has some infra buckets containing modularized Terraform packaged into tarballs that are then fanned out to a couple hundred aws accounts across the teams and environments (prod, qual, dev). Its all deployed via gitlab ci cd pipelines (which are just ec2 instances spawned at pipeline invocation) in multiple layers. The first layer is a foundation laying the networking rules and the IAM roles, permissions, policies and boundaries, some logging and monitoring. The second layer then assigns team specifics such as budget and maps people's accounts to roles depending on their access level (maintainer, developer, reporter). This layer can also be used to customize firewall rules like opening ports to the company internal IP ranges. The third and final layer is then all of the application infrastructure of the teams, so all their persistence, compute, load balancing, dns routing and serverless stuff. My prior teammates did a lot by hand in the aws console but I told them to stop and retain everything as IaC code. Besides Terraform, in my team we use Packer to build reusable "golden" machine images but also Ansible to configure live machines. I'm still surprised nobody bothered us to change to Opentofu, it's not even been mentioned yet lol.
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I've worked in similar shops - I'm a big fan of less pipelines and layers and more environment variables.
Also: suspenders, for resilience unixbeard, for documentation roundglasses, for observation dnd, for chaos testing
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I'm not sure if this is a joke or not
Containment and monitoring failures are to blame for AI hacking reports: experts (csoonline.com)
The fun part is that people seem to forget that we already have laws against "rogue ai". The normal laws, since you are still liable for everything you own. "Rogue AI" is solved by removing the accountability sink "it was AI, not me!" It's your chat, your prompts, and all output that you should read and understand. Don't know how to operate a power hammer? don't care, any problems it causes are still your fault.
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> Don't know how to operate a power hammer? don't care, any problems it causes are still your fault. If during normal usage the power hammer explodes and hurts someone due to a design or manufacturing failure, it is not your fault.
So the guy who said "book me a spot in the pilates class on Tuesday" should be tried for hacking charges because the agent hacked his gym's website?
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Absolutely, the user and or the company hosting. There is no world where accountability should be zero.
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A lot of people are already responding either "Yes" or "No", but I have a slightly different take. The guy is liable for damages. If no damages were caused, there's no lawsuit. The government doesn't put people on trial for unauthorized access (unlike, say, murder). Someone needs to file charges. However, if the guy _were_ sued by his gym for damages, it should be his perogative to ultimately sue Anthropic to cover the damages and the legal fees. The system is set up this way on purpose. You can't sue another party on someone else's behalf. The gym can't even prove that Claude did it - the guy might be full of shit. They sue the accountable party (the person who accessed the site without authorization) and then the accountable party is free to sue the tool maker for selling a dangerous tool negligently. edit: damn actually tecoholic said this too and i missed it. well, anyway i agree with that guy.
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With a civil suit you can sue multiple parties. It wouldn't be unusual, if the gym decided to sue, for them to sue the guy and anthropic in the same lawsuit.
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> So the guy who said "book me a spot in the pilates class on Tuesday" should be tried for hacking charges because the agent hacked his gym's website? He asked the agent to find a way to find a way to put him at the head of the line, which could not be done without by-passing the sites security. He was an AI salesman, but the story [0] makes it sound as though he wasn't aware of that. Maybe he wasn't, but I'm sure he was aware he was effectively asking the AI to game the system. Sounds like it's at least a shared liability to me. [0] The incident is possibly not well known outside of Australia: https://www.abc.net.au/news/107007986
Are automakers really the best comparison here? Seems like inherently dangerous devices are sold, kill thousands, and there is little accountability.
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They might actually be the best comparison, but for making the opposite point. Cars are very dangerous, manufacturers continue to knowingly make them more dangerous[0], but ultimately it's only the person behind the wheel that is accountable for the harm they cause. [0] https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/jun/24/carspreading-vehicle-size-crash-deaths-study
But the tool wasn’t sold. The tool wasn’t even rented out. It remained the property of, and in the possession of, the toolmaker at all times.
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With the pilates hack... https://www.news.com.au/technology/online/hacking/ai-agent-asked-to-book-pilates-class-goes-rogue-and-hacks-website/news-story/d50d5fe34ba2fe45b72bd0cfe5227c71 > A Melbourne tech executive built an AI bot to help him book a spot in a popular pilates class — only to discover it had hacked the gym’s website to boot another member off the waitlist. > Andrew Bird, head of AI at software company Affinda, said he created the AI agent to handle the “chore” of booking a coveted morning spot at his gym. > ... > The AI agent, which Mr Bird created using the popular OpenClaw software powered by Anthropic’s Claude AI, “did handle the annoying part … then it kept going”. He built the tool. It ran on his computer. The guts of it may have been from Claude, but the requests and agent are his with the permissions that he granted it. This wasn't running in an Anthropic sandbox.
There are dozens of ongoing wrongful death, manslaughter and negligence claims going through the courts. I won't insult you by providing links.
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I can't find a single criminal charge. Can you insult me by providing just one?
I somewhat disagree, there are some real arguments about making high end LLMs classified as a dangerous and restricted product that will apply to all nations. They may not agree to the US rules, but almost everywhere will have restrictions sooner or later. Don't get me wrong, I want a world of open models, but I don't see us living in that world in our current trajectory.
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Depends on how much of the world you see running on hacked copies of Windows and pirated versions of Photoshop, as there's already huggingbay.xyz. In a legit company you'd never run pirate Windows and Photoshop, because that's illegal, but to pretend half the world doesn't run on that would be ignorant. The same security risk is there with open models - if you're not looking at the code it generates, it could be putting in backdoors to your code and you'd never know, so no legit company is going to be running off some abliterated model they downloaded from huggingbay, but again, it would be naive to think that open models are going away.
> OpenAI and Anthropic will lose their one remaining plausible path to profitability You forgot about Ads. The one true endgame for every tech company.
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OpenAI's leaked financials suggest about a $38bn loss last year. They recently claimed their ad business had an annualized run rate of $1bn. Annualized run rate is a bullshit, non-GAAP, obviously fudged number designed to impress people who've never heard of regression to the mean, but still, let's trust it for the sake of argument. And let's assume that "yesterday's weather" is a good enough estimate for how their overall finances are looking in 2026. That implies that all they need for profitability is to quickly grow their ad revenue by, say, 3,500 - 4,000%. Easy peasy. Shouldn't be too hard at all.
> The scary thing is not that agents "went rogue" (yes, poor security may be at fault for that). It's that they wanted to. How do you know they weren't simply prompted to do this, or at least prompted in a way that would inevitably lead to this? As far as I know, the prompts that triggered these attacks have not been disclosed.
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> As far as I know, the prompts that triggered these attacks have not been disclosed. I'd love to see a full transcript of the agents work. Though I imagine it is a LOT of data.
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OK so there is a counter answer to your question. Is this any better? All you've managed to state is we can create digital weapons. Literal info hazards.
It's a byproduct of goal seeking / planning behaviour taught in reinforcement. We literally teach them to do this kind of thing. There's nothing out of our control here.
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In principle there is no difference between random compiler garbage or a flaw in API docs and a security boundary - other than the intent. LLMs don't have executive function. They aren't thinking. The models are trained to solve problems. Sandboxes, security gates, etc block a solution. The model is trained to find a solution. Hence it can never be perfect without becoming useless. At some level humans fear repercussions even if that's just moral guilt so there are lines we won't cross. AI doesn't and can't have any of that.
This is a straightforward why not both situation. We both take steps to keep bears away from people and to mitigate harms when those steps fail.
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Unless they are world wide rules people have to follow not sure how much it helps. The bell for the new cold war has been rung, and the new weapons are digital.
I'd call it no more interesting than the botnets and worms that have existed for decades. What is the open model doing that is different here?
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It isn't just restricted to the exploits it is programmed with (and without human intervention to load additional exploits). Of course, it remains to be seen what several thousand 27B models running at sub 1 tps speed can achieve. (The IoT device mechanism proposed by Anthropic). I suspect a more likely path is compromise of the billing and provisioning systems of fly-by-night neoclouds.
If I make a cake, and it unexpectedly explodes in the oven, it does not mean that the cake itself developed the free will to explode. The model does not have free will because I did not predict what it would do!
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Why are you arguing over irrelevancies? When people say the models "went rogue", the part of that is relevant is that it did dangerous things that were not reasonably predictable in advance and cannot be easily prevented (except by not running it). Philosophical questions are irrelevant. if you agree that such models are dangerous because they may in response to instructions -- including in response to careless instructions, because people will be careless, that is unavoidable! -- do unpredictable bad things outside of expected bounds, then you agree on the essential points! Or really perhaps what I should say here is, the question that's really being argued over here isn't even the one I just said, rather it's one of appropriate action -- should such security breaches be solved by improving security, or by doing something about the models (including potentially just not running them)? (The answer may be both.) If you agree that the solution includes the latter, then you agree that the models are "going rogue" in the sense that is being argued over, regardless of philosophical issues! Don't turn a question of actual import into one of philosophical irrelevancies! If you object to the terminology, fine, but in that case, instead of turning the argument to philosophy, you should say "instead of saying 'going rogue', I would prefer to instead say <your preferred terminology for what's being described>, as that doesn't carry such philosophical baggage."
Connecting the optimizing machine to real world actions without human oversight is not a neutral or blameless choice. The LLM takes no actions, the harness it is connected to does. It is not entirely dissimilar to the goldfish that "played Pokemon" by swimming around the tank. The program that looked at the camera sent the instructions to the gameboy emulator, because a human being decided to connect them.
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> Connecting the optimizing machine to real world actions without human oversight is not a neutral or blameless choice. Yep. The fact that they lack hard constraints (unlike an SQP optimizer) and all this talk of "alignment" is also just a feature (or misfeature) of the algorithm. The way that people/researchers choose to use those algorithms, even in the presence of those limitations, doesn't mean the algorithm is "rogue"; it means the humans didn't build in enough external hard constraints. It is like passive voice, blaming the algorithm instead of the researchers running it.
Tesla's Robotaxis Blow Through School Zones, NHTSA Petition Alleges (extremetech.com)
I have heard of small towns that generated income by running speed traps. There was a notorious one near where I am from where the speed limit changed like a dozen times seemingly randomly over the course of a couple miles. Maybe someday we will see some enterprising sheriff set up some trap for Tesla robotaxis and fund their local government by fining Elon. They can beta test it by sticking a cop at the nearest school right now!
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Speed trap towns (and all manner of other local government predation upon the populace) work because the harm is spread thinly among the public. You pull that shit on a megacorp and their legal team will show up in court and mop the floor with you.
I've never heard this take...why should we eliminate school zones?
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I think elimination is a little broad, but I also think the majority of school zones aren't necessary, in my midwestern area of the US at least. Most schools I pass are set well back from the road, have a schoolyard that is entirely fenced, there's a bus/pickup circle off the street, and there's no sidewalk along or crosswalk across the school zoned street. There is little chance a student is going to be anywhere near the street.
many school zones do not have a flashing light and instead have a timetable printed on the sign. This requires you to know at an instant: The current time (which depending on what you drive may not be accessible), If school is actively in session (If you don't have kids or are in a different area you may not know this) These school zones are instead designed to generate revenue and not do anything for safety. If you are going to have an enforceable school zone you should have a flashing light indicating when its active.
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> many school zones do not have a flashing light and instead have a timetable printed on the sign. This requires you to know at an instant: The current time (which depending on what you drive may not be accessible), If school is actively in session (If you don't have kids or are in a different area you may not know this) Doesn't that imply that there should just be flashing lights adding to existing school zones, not that we eliminate them? > These school zones are instead designed to generate revenue and not do anything for safety. If you are going to have an enforceable school zone you should have a flashing light indicating when its active. How does it generate revenue? I don't generally spend money when I'm slowing down for a school zone.
counter point: don't speed.
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counter counter point: go as fast as is safe, and don't get caught (speed limits are generally well below what is safe)
That … is definitely not how things work in the US. Municipalities set speed limits based on a variety of things including but not limited to maximizing revenue, the streets city council members live on, random news reports about speeds in adjacent jurisdictions, and so on. Were a car to refuse to exceed the speed limit, it would be dangerously slow almost everywhere in the united states, arguably reducing safety substantially.
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When I lived in Maryland, the state cops would sometimes do this thing, where a cop car would be in each lane, going exactly the speed limit. No idea if they still do that.
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In California, I would see a single CHP vehicle bring an entire freeway to a standstill, for whatever emergency reason. They would activate lights/sirens and then simply swerve wildly through every lane, while incrementally slowing down. Works a treat. Everybody on the road could tell, it was serious business!
Doesn't that just cause speeds to creep up as people think it's okay to go a little over the limit?
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At first, most do. After a while, it's only a few. The limits are only increased when most people are doing it. It pans out eventually.
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The older the get the more I appreciate speed limits as they are. Driving fast barely changes your arrival time on most trips and increases risk to you and others dramatically. I'm still guilty of speeding sometimes but on the whole I find driving the speed limits, or thereabouts, more relaxing and enjoyable (I do not hang out in the fast lane).
Or running an experiment to create new training data.
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> create new training data. I mean, if they need training data for ragdoll simulation, there's already Carmageddon series. They can connect FSD to a PC and get enough training data in no time. Not less gruesome*, but way less dangerous for schoolchildren. *: They should download the patch to undo the zombie conversion, but Grok can do it in a pinch.
Google is silently linking your phone number across all signed-in accounts (androidauthority.com)
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I'm sorry, did anyone assume this wasn't the case?
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I always assumed that if I add other Google accounts to my Android phone then they'd be linked together, so I avoided doing it. It's a pain because Google apps require it. For example I can't join a Google Meet from my phone for this reason because I've always kept the Google account I use for email separate from the Google account I use for Android (and then K-9 Mail via IMAP to access it to avoid connecting them there). Ironically this means that my experience with Google apps on my Android phone has always been poor but other vendors' stuff work fine. For example I use Fastmail for some key email addresses and this works well for me whereas I cannot use the Gmail app. I guess I made the right choice.
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Of course they do, I never expected anything else. That's why I never gave it to them for any of my accounts with them (that I barely use anyway).
fuck. keeping your phone number off accounts is an important security step as many attacks require that you have a phone number connected. If it's ever been on there you cant trust that some long forgotten recovery pathway can't be convinced to use it to authenticate access to your account.
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[delayed]
People who want security don't use multiple google accounts tho.
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Well, they might use zero Google accounts. There is no real difference between one or multiple accounts, security-wise.
> No other big-tech company goes to such great lengths to deanonymize users and make its services difficult to use, especially during account creation. meta comes to mind? you can't even interact with their services unless you have an account, and they ban you if you don't reveal yourself transparently. then they ask you for a state-issued ID to appeal bans. seems like some great lengths to me.
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I agree. Meta is as bad as if not worse than Google. It is however much easier to navigate life without Meta than without Google. Even if you use different email, etc, if you collaborate with someone on a doc or whatever they are likely to send you a google link.
I imagine that Google is keeping a log of the ip addresses that phone reports when it's connected to wifi. I There's probably some overlay between you and your known associates / locations.
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They also log all the locations where anybody's phone encountered an SSID. It's unclear whether an SSID suffixed with _nomap truly opts out of the collection, or whether it simply opts out of later sharing.
ICE Planning $100M 'Nightmare' Domestic Spy Program (prospect.org)
The word citizen is intentionally absent from the text of the amendment. Bill of rights applies to all persons*, not just citizens.
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Even those in slavery when the BoR was created?
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Exactly this; how do you have a country of law and order if you don’t extend at least the prosecution rights to the people within it’s borders, citizen or not?
I don't think length of time is the rational indicator of whether or not the status is still necessary, the present conditions within the country would be the rational indicator, yes?
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Haiti is an amazing place, very safe. Stop spreading your dog whistle racism. Haitians should go back to their beautiful country.
Are you suggesting we should move people from safe conditions to unsafe conditions simply because you don't like the length of time they have been in safe conditions? For me personally, the conditions should be as safe or safer than the current conditions under which a person resides before considering removal of protective status, or else it would be cruel and inhumane to move them (to worse conditions). I think preventing unnecessary human suffering should be the number one concern, do you not?
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So their country of origin has to become as safe as the United States? That sounds like we would have to keep most people practically indefinitely. If the goal is preventing unnecessary suffering why stop at those who are already here? there are 10s of millions maybe even hundreds of millions of people suffering. Shouldn't we bring them all to the US to reduce their suffering? The people currently in Haiti are in unsafe conditions why don't we bring them over that would reduce suffering.
Haiti is in a state of anarchy, completely taken over by gangs. There are no elected officials in the entire country. It is one of the most dangerous places in the world.
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This is dog whistle racism. Haiti is an amazing country, very safe. Don't let MAGA accounts like adfgaionio tell you otherwise.
racism /rā′sĭz″əm/ noun 1. The belief that race accounts for differences in human character or ability and that a particular race is superior to others.
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I didn't say anything about race? You said that Haiti is in full blown anarchy and overrun with gangs. Why is it racist not to want people from a country that you referred to as incredibly dangerous?
Genuine question for people here who still like Trump...does this kind of stuff not scare you?
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Genuine answer: His admin is not doing enough, fast enough. The only scary thing is what happens if they don't dismantle internationalist oligarchs this term. They will come back with a vengeance.
Sure, but I would actually like to hear what a Trump supporter has to say here. I suspect you and I have a lot of overlap on our opinions, which is great but sort of tangential to what I want to know.
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There are plenty in this thread, and on this site (social media psychosis affects the terminally online more) They never address the meat of the issue, it's always some sensationalist whataboutism. In this case, what about all the illegal immigration. Big scary urgent threat! No time to think about civil liberties! No time to consider the restrictions on the government written into its very charter! Oh but don't you know Democrats did bad stuff too! I'm most certainly willing to update my views, and my characterization. But they would have to engage with the actual points being made, and they never do.
> It’s frustrating seeing people’s genuine questions being mocked. It's more the belief that a genuine answer will come I'm chuckling at.
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I replied!
YC loves domestic spying. They can't get enough of it. Flock, Conntour, Lexius, Protent, Ornadyne, AvairSense, etc.
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> YC loves domestic spying. Now the submission has been flagged off the main page. Imagine that.
I'm liking and commenting under my real name. Fuck ICE.
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so brave
If you want to build a stasi-like system then the answer to all that’s yes - which seems to be what the majority of us citizens is in favour of, otherwise they wouldn’t have elected this admin
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This is why Trump is acting like he's on the ballot in November. Since he is the face of the Republican party, voters understand they are evaluating his decisions and performance since 2024, and will be voting accordingly.
"Maybe the Republicans are worse" when the democrats have a plan to create a 100M domestic surveillance program and push it on the national stage, the word maybe becomes relevant. Until then, it is clear to everyone with a functional set of eyes what is happening; maybe schedule your check-up.
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> when the democrats have a plan to create a 100M domestic surveillance program Did you miss the Snowden reporting? How much do you think those programs cost? Whenever you hear someone’s political analysis contain “The Republicans…” “The Democrats…” you can be sure they have no grasp on how DC works.
Can I buy the same weapons the American military has access to? Until that's true, the 2nd amendment is meaningless when USAF can buy JDAMs and F35s and I, an American citizen, cannot.
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Even if you had access to all the munitions on paper, it would be extraordinarily surprising to wake up one day to the news that US citizens collectively out-gunned the US armed forces. I mean, F35s are not famous for being cheap . Even if you could spend alike in aggregate, who maintains them? Where is the secondary military drilling people on tactics and/or strategy? Nah, the 2nd never did what its proponents claimed, not even in the old days.
I think most Americans think we should have a sensible border policy and some way to identify and remove the 5-10m illegal immigrants that came in over the Biden administration. You should rethink your position as it's not going to give you the electoral wins you think it will.
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> I think most Americans think we should have a sensible border policy and some way to identify and remove the 5-10m illegal immigrants that came in over the Biden administration. This statistic is completely false. But you can use is as a good credibility filter. Media figures and politicians who make this claim are liars - stop believing what they say. You'll become much more well informed overnight. An estimated 2-2.5 million immigrants were allowed to reside in the US as immigration cases were pending. Most came through ports of entry, some crossed "illegally" (a misdemeanor). There were an estimated ~9 million apprehensions. This is the number they cite to mislead you. Apprehensions does not mean 9 million unique people, nor does it mean they all now reside in the US. Most of those people were deported or ejected. And most of those were actually the same people trying to cross multiple times. An unintended consequence of Title 42 (the covid restrictions imposed during Trump term) was an explosion in repeat crossing attempts. Formal deportation makes it a felony to return. Under Title 42 though people were just ejected without formal deportation and could try again without consequence. Cartels/Smugglers even started selling packages that involved multiple tries to cross the border.
I will never support deporting people already here unless they commit felonies. It's cruel and immoral. People come here for a better life and work opportunities, the immigration system needs reform, and nobody goes after the employers who typically support Republicans. This is a huge, wealthy country. There's plenty of room and economic opportunity. The undocumented are not the problem. They're scape goated. But even setting all that aside, ICE and DHS need fundamental reform, so might as well abolish them and create new agencies with all new employees.
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But then what do you do with all of the Proud Boys?
> the 5-10m illegal immigrants that came in over the Biden administration. This part always pisses them off for some reason and any conversations around this cannot be had in a civil manner here without suppression. It's a real insult to people who spent years, sometimes decades, coming into a country legally.
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The part that should actually make you mad is that the statistic is complete bs - totally false - but its taken as ground truth across the entire political right from politicians to media to influencers to the base. How and why did it get this way?
Coast Guard is DHS. https://www.dhs.gov/operational-and-support-components
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That's like saying that "abolish the AT&T monopoly" somehow means abolishing all phones. No, what happens to the grouped-whole is not necessarily what happens to the parts.
Amsterdam police confiscates server left-wing ISP A/I at American request (nrc.nl)
That is a very recent change, one that is only true because of the Gaza genocide. Before the Gaza genocide criticizing Israel would be your political doom. So much so there is even a compilation of John Steward stating this fact. The city of Reykjavík, Iceland, tried to boycott Israel back in 2015 but had to abandon the attempt because of the political backlash. In the 10 years since we can clearly see how justified those attempts were.
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Do you know why that is the case? Its because calling a war a genocide is basically extremist propaganda. It isn't a charge based in fact. HAMAS uses child soldiers, then when they inevitable get killed claim that X number of children were killed in the war. HAMAS doesn't use uniforms so they can claim when their fighters die that a civilian was killed. These things are warcrimes exactly because it creates such confusion and because it increases the chance that actual civilians will get killed. The people who make such charges are absolutely doing it to create the environment where they can commit atrocities. HAMAS publicly admits such things. Additionally, most of the images and videos from Gaza that got people upset in 2024 were generated by LLMs. It was pretty obvious too. Plenty of images with the wrong number of fingers or limbs were posted around that time. That's why such speech gets treated the way it does, not because of some sort of grand conspiracy. PS Nobody debates the finer points of fascist public policy. The things people don't like are about vilifying a group of people and then creating a "final solution". Being part of a propaganda effort to do it again isn't a great look. That's why such speech is treated how it is.
The claim that Jews control or manipulate governments has been an antisemitic claim going back hundreds of years in multiple different variations. So, even if semetic does not equal Jew does not equal Zionist, any claim that one or the other controls a government requires some substance. Otherwise, it fits one of the most recognized template of antisemitic false claims.
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That isn’t the claim that was made, though… unless you conflate Zionists in government outside Israel (claim actually made) with Jews in governments outside Israel (claim not actually made), thereby making my point. And it’s a conflation that Mike Huckabee — as just one trivial example — puts the lie to. Observing that AIPAC both exists and has significant influence over American politics — especially the side of American politics that started an illegal and unjust war with Iran absent a legitimate casus belli — isn’t the same thing as putting on the tinfoil beret and screaming about the Protocols of the Elders of Zion, and hasn’t been for quite a while. It’s also important to remember that some of the most virulently antisemitic (meaning anti-Jewish) people alive are now, and long have been, actively Zionist precisely simply because they believe that restoring Jewish control over Israel will bring about the Christian-centric apocalypse of whomever claimed to be John of Patmos and thus delivery into eternal conscious torment any and every Jew that didn’t convert before the [entirely fictitious] Rapture. That’s the fatal problem with equating Zionism and antisemitism in the first place… nothing stops someone from being rabidly both simultaneously. And that’s all before we get to the nuance of there being plenty of Zionist-identifying Jews who are dead set against the specific form and flavor of Zionism currently controlling the Knesset.
I am saying that this theory only exists as a meme. It has exactly zero academic rigor and should be taken as seriously as any conspiracy theory or crackpot theory you find online. Whatever you read from this theory is, just like, your opinion, and nothing more.
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> Whatever you read from this theory is, just like, your opinion Sure. It’s shorthand for illiberal interests being broadly similar, something that does have explanatory value. > should be taken as seriously as any conspiracy theory or crackpot theory you find online Do you have a good academic refutation?
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It is a shorthand for what you think is similar. There are no evidence for this theory. This theory is easily testable. If this theory were true, we would have evidence for it. We don‘t. Even your own link clearly states that. Therefor we don‘t have any reason to believe it is true, other then our own biases.
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> This theory is easily testable In what form? Who has tested it? The refutations that point out the same people aren’t swinging between far left and right is usual social science bullshittery—nobody claimed that. The actual claim—my claim—is around tactics. I am not aware of an academic refutation of this. I'd ordinarily be sympathetic to the argument that calling it a theory is nonsense. But (a) I didn't name it, (b) it's a term of popular discourse and (c) political science is full of hypotheses branded as theories.
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[delayed]
Passkeys are not a trap (scotthelme.co.uk)
What lock in? The attention this article debunks and no one uses?
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Microslop uses it. If you want to login to a corporate Microslop account with a passkey, you have to use Microslop software.
That wasn't FIDO as a group. That was one vocal member and even their employer ended up disowning the comment. It also wasn't about sync, it was about plaintext export.
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It was about forbidding members from syncing with any software that allows or can be altered to allow plaintext exports.
I personally find it to be a disgusting way to get customers. The company pays for the service, yet they also get to be the product.
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Depends on how you look at it I guess.
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